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Santa Barbara Market Update Q3 2021 | Infamous Inventory Shortage

Santa Barbara Market Update Q3 2021 | Infamous Inventory Shortage

The 3rd quarter statistics are in. Our local real estate market experienced the lowest inventory in history, with continued over-asking price sales and more off-market deals than ever before—all contributing to rising prices in every segment of our market. In a nutshell, supply is not keeping up with the continued demand, and we are seeing fewer sales overall.

South Santa Barbara County

Compared to last year, in South Santa Barbara County the number of active listings fell 32%, and the number of closed sales slipped 11%. Those who were able to secure a property did so under heavy competition as we continued to see multiple offers on the same listing.

While total sold volume rose 6%, both the average price and median price grew 19% and 8% respectively. The average listing spent 24 days on the market compared to 22 days during this time last year. On average, listings sold at 101% of their asking price, illustrating the volume of premium homes selling over target thresholds. Two Montecito estates tied for the highest sale price in South SB County, at 699 San Ysidro Road and 700 Park Lane, which both closed at $28,000,000.

South Santa Barbara County Q3 Market Report Stats

Montecito

It was slim pickings in Montecito, as the number of active listings was slashed in half during the 3rd quarter and the number of closed sales dropped to 86 from last year's 162, driving a 36% pull back in transaction counts. While overall sold volume remained stable, prices shot way up. The average price jumped 56% and the median price shot up 44%, pushing the current yearly median price in Montecito to $4.2 million.

The luxury segment was hotter than ever, recording 11 sales over $10 million during Q3 compared to only 4 sales this time last year. The average property spent 50 days on the market compared to 27 days during Q3 2020. On average, listings sold at 99% of their asking price, up from 96% last year, with 28 listings closing over asking. Notably, 9 of the 12 highest Q3 sales in Montecito were managed off-market, contributing to 38 total off-market sales during Q3, 6 of which our team was proud to facilitate.

Montecito Q3 Real Estate Analytics Chart

Hope Ranch

Although a narrower market, Hope Ranch experienced a matching trajectory. Compared to last year, inventory was cut in half, and in turn, the number of closed sales was cut in half as well. While total sold volume slipped 12%, the average price jumped a sweltering 69% and the median price grew 73%, bringing the current yearly median price in Hope Ranch to $4.5 million.

Market lifecycles were significantly reduced, with days on market averaging just 9 days compared to 53 days this time last year. Hope Ranch listings finalized on average at 96% of their asking price, rising from 92% recorded last year.

Hope Ranch Q3 Premium Statistics Report

Market Outlook Going Forward

While we don’t have a crystal ball, I anticipate the inventory shortage to continue anchoring the marketplace through the rest of the year. Shifting financing dynamics are projected to rise, and we could see fresh inventory tiers free up as updated tax plans roll out in the new year.

The future of our local communities remains an essential conversation, and navigating these changes requires a highly strategic plan. If you are assessing a change and want to take full advantage of this unique market, let’s connect to map out your next move from a position of absolute strength.

Call (805) 565-4014 or email [email protected] for a complimentary, strictly confidential listing consultation.

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Experience, professionalism, and passion have all contributed to our standing in the top ½ % of Berkshire Hathaway agents nationwide. Connect with us today to begin viewing exclusive listings of the finest residences in the area. Whatever your needs, rely on our expertise and of the resources of Berkshire Hathaway to ensure you get the most out of your home investment. Marsha Kotlyar and a team of dedicated Santa Barbara and Montecito luxury real estate agents are here for you. Please explore the website to learn more about the area, our company's top quality services, and our exclusive offerings. We look forward to hearing from you and helping you secure your dream home. Call (805) 565-4014 for a complimentary consultation.

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