The 1st Quarter real estate statistics are in, and they reveal a few notable market shifts. The peak annual spring season is officially upon us when buyers and sellers get serious about their real estate moves. However, this year something is quite different than before: few homes are coming up for sale.
Compared to the previous year's already low inventory, the number of new listings coming to market dropped another 30%. These figures sit far below pre-pandemic inventory levels: a mere 323 new listings came on the market between Goleta and Carpinteria this quarter, a figure far less than the 612 new listings that surfaced during Q1 2019. While buyers now have more control than they did in the fevered spring 2022 market, this lack of local inventory has prohibited a shift into a Buyer’s market.
In addition to inventory limitations, both the continued rise in interest rates and the coldest recorded winter in 50 years contributed to a significant decline in sales activity throughout South Santa Barbara County. With the exception of Hope Ranch, which saw an increase in both average & median price, all other areas within the county had a slight price decrease.
While the average time on the market rose slightly, the average percentage off the asking price stabilized at 97%. With the extreme competition from the pandemic finally flattening a bit, we are seeing more local buyers stepping into the marketplace, feeling increasingly comfortable entering this more normalized market landscape.
The Luxury Market
As anticipated, the ultra-high-end has been less impacted by rising interest rates. Luxury turnkey estates, view properties, and beachfront homes hold scarcity and are therefore still in high demand in our current market. While there were fewer sales over 10M during Q1 (9 total), it matches the exact number of luxury sales recorded pre-pandemic. The quarter's highest residential sale in South Santa Barbara County was at 308 Ennisbrook Drive, selling off-market for $21M.
Montecito
Examine the granular performance shifts across Montecito residential listings. Scarcity continues to preserve solid values within our primary estate neighborhoods, framing highly resilient property positions.
Hope Ranch
Hope Ranch stood out as an outlier during this shift, showing unique positive trends in overall average and median values. View the complete performance indicators below to track this exclusive sector.
While We Don't Have a Crystal Ball...
Nationally, the housing market is undergoing a rebalancing. One of the many reasons real estate prices rise during inflationary times is that investors value tangible assets that generate yield above and beyond the rate of inflation. If housing inventory remains limited, we don't expect home prices to dip much.
We are carefully monitoring the market to decipher subsequent trends and will update you on our findings in our next market report. In order to be successful in this market, you need a diligent and dedicated team with extensive experience, strong relationships, and a consistent history of proven accomplishments. Contact us at (805) 565-4014 or email [email protected] for a complimentary consultation. All calls are confidential.